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Oxf Rev Econ Policy 2003; 19:84-99
© 2003 Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Ltd

Article

Ten Commandments for a Fiscal Rule in the E(M)U

Willem H. Buiter
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development

Abstract

Fiscal rules in a monetary union should (1) be simple; (2) ensure the solvency of the state; (3) relate to the consolidated general government and central bank; (4) be neutral as regards the size of the public sector; (5) avoid pro-cyclical behaviour of the fiscal policy instruments; (6) also make sense in the long run; (7) allow for important differences in economic structure and initial conditions; (8) aggregate into behaviour that makes sense at the level of the union as a whole; (9) be credible; and (10) be enforced impartially and consistently. The paper reviews the rules of the Stability and Growth Pact, the UK's golden rule and sustainable-investment rule, and Buiter and Grafe's permanent-balance rule from the perspective of how well they meet these ten criteria.


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